General Market News
Charlotte, North Carolina topped CNBC's 2025 Power City Indexes with a 22% median return, narrowly beating Silicon Valley's 21% performance. The city's success was driven by strong gains in lithium, steel, and financial stocks rather than tech, with seven companies posting returns above 20%.
- Charlotte's winning portfolio included Albemarle (lithium) up 64%, Curtiss-Wright (aerospace) up 57%, and Nucor (steel) up 40%
- Silicon Valley came second despite massive gains from AppLovin (112%), Alphabet (66%), and Nvidia (41%), hurt by ServiceNow's 28% decline
- Washington D.C. ranked third with 17% median return, powered by defense contractors RTX (59%) and other Pentagon-adjacent firms
Elliott Investment Management partner Jason Genrich, who led technology sector investments for the activist hedge fund, has departed the firm and will remain as a consultant until mid-year. The 38-year-old senior portfolio manager spearheaded major campaigns at companies including Hewlett Packard Enterprise and Crown Castle during his decade-long tenure at one of the world's most active activist investors.
- Genrich led Elliott's technology, media and telecommunications investments including the HPE campaign in early 2025 and the Citrix private equity buyout with Vista Equity Partners in 2022
- Elliott has been particularly active in 2024-2025 with new campaigns at Lululemon (seeking CEO change) and PepsiCo (reaching settlement for cost cuts in December)
- Genrich currently serves on Crown Castle's board where he led a multi-year activist campaign and will continue as Elliott consultant through mid-2026
Ken Griffin's Citadel flagship Wellington fund gained 10.2% in 2025, outperforming during a volatile year marked by market swings and trade tensions. The hedge fund giant plans to return $5 billion in profits to clients while maintaining its strong long-term track record of 19% annualized returns since 1990.
- Citadel's tactical trading fund led performance with 18.6% returns, while fundamental equity strategy gained 14.5%
- The firm will reduce assets under management from $72 billion to $67 billion by returning profits to limit capital growth
- Wellington fund continues its exceptional performance with 19% annualized returns since inception in 1990
The first trading day of 2026 opened with positive momentum across all major indices, with futures showing gains ranging from 0.29% to 0.93%, as investors consider whether a 'January Effect' will materialize. Market participants are weighing potential headwinds including tariffs, employment concerns, and healthcare costs against the possibility of a fourth consecutive year of double-digit stock market gains.
- Pre-market futures show Nasdaq leading with +235 points (+0.93%), followed by S&P 500 +35 (+0.51%), Russell 2000 +13 (+0.53%), and Dow +139 (+0.29%)
- 2025 recovery from April tariff lows was substantial: Nasdaq +39%, Russell 2000 +33%, S&P 500 +32%, and Dow +24%
- Key economic data ahead includes Jobs Week starting Monday with ADP payrolls, JOLTS data, and unemployment figures following weak November hiring
Former Deputy Treasury Secretary Michael Faulkender argues that Trump administration economic policies enacted in 2025, including the Big Beautiful Bill Act tax cuts and energy deregulation that pushed oil prices down 28% to $57 per barrel, have set the foundation for stronger economic growth in 2026. Despite inflation hovering at 2.7% in November, Faulkender expects lower energy costs and tax refunds to boost the economy as these policies fully take effect.
- Oil prices dropped from a 2025 high of $78.70 to $57 per barrel following Trump's energy deregulation, though Faulkender says these benefits haven't 'fully internalized' into the economy yet
- The Big Beautiful Bill Act extended Trump-era tax policies and created new forms of tax relief, with large refunds expected in February and March 2026
- Inflation remained stubbornly above the Fed's 2% target throughout 2025, ranging from 2.3% (April low) to 3% (September peak), ending at 2.7% in November
The author argues that 2026 will likely see four interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, rather than the two currently priced in by markets, driven by rising unemployment (from 4% to 4.6% in 2025) and the anticipated appointment of a new Fed chair in May 2026 who will align with President Trump's preference for lower rates.
- Unemployment rose from 4% in January 2025 to 4.6% by year end, triggering the Sahm rule multiple times and signaling potential recessionary pressures
- Jerome Powell is expected to step down in May 2026, with Kevin Hassett potentially becoming the new Fed chair under Trump's selection
- Questions about Fed independence are likely to emerge as Trump has clearly signaled his desire for lower interest rates and will hand-pick a compliant Fed chair
US stock futures point to a positive start for 2026, with tech stocks leading the charge as Nasdaq futures rise 0.9% on the first trading day of the year. Market analyst Kenny Polcari identifies key themes for the year ahead including midterm elections, potential tech IPOs worth trillions, AI companies needing to prove monetization, and a new Fed chair appointment in May.
- Gold hits new high above $4,550 on Boxing Day before retreating to $4,374, while bitcoin trades at $89,340 and crude oil at $56.90
- Major tech IPOs including SpaceX, OpenAI, Anthropic and Kraken could raise trillions in 2026 as AI shifts from 'promise' to 'payoff' phase
- S&P 500 trading at 22x forward earnings above historical averages signals expensive valuations requiring stronger fundamentals
The 2026 stock market started Friday with tech stocks leading gains, continuing the AI-driven rally that defined 2025. The Magnificent Seven stocks all advanced, with semiconductor companies like Broadcom up over 1.5%, suggesting investors remain committed to technology despite concerns about high valuations and demands for profitable AI applications.
- Wall Street expects the S&P 500 to climb roughly 11% in 2026, below the advances of the previous three years
- Tech struggled in late 2025 with the Nasdaq posting two consecutive monthly losses as investors rotated toward economically sensitive sectors
- Investment managers like Nancy Tengler advise staying focused on tech 'winners' and buying dips, with Palantir (up 135% in 2025) and Oracle continuing gains
Stock futures are rising as 2026 trading begins, with Dow futures up 0.4% and Nasdaq futures up 1%, following strong double-digit gains in 2025 but a four-day losing streak to close the year. Key market movers include Tesla ahead of Q4 delivery numbers, furniture stocks gaining on delayed tariff increases, and precious metals resuming their climb after recent record highs.
- Tesla expected to report 422,850 Q4 deliveries, down from Q3, with full-year 2025 deliveries forecast at 1.64 million versus 1.8 million in prior years
- Furniture retailers RH, Wayfair, and Williams-Sonoma rose 1-2% after White House delayed 25% tariff increases amid trade negotiations
- Gold futures up 1.4% to $4,400/oz and silver up 4% to $73.45/oz, recovering from last week's decline caused by CME Group margin requirement increases
Wall Street returns from the holiday break to face a data-heavy first week of 2026, with multiple employment reports, economic indicators, and earnings releases scheduled. The week culminates Friday with December's crucial U.S. employment report, unemployment rate, and wage data, alongside consumer sentiment figures.
- Key economic releases include ISM manufacturing and services indices, ADP employment data, weekly jobless claims, and Friday's comprehensive jobs report with unemployment and wage statistics
- Corporate earnings season begins with reports from Acuity (AYI), Cal-Maine Foods (CALM) and others, while Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin is scheduled to deliver two speeches during the week
- Friday January 9th will be the busiest day, featuring December employment data, housing starts, University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey, and multiple economic indicators
Warren Buffett officially stepped down as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway after six decades, handing leadership to Greg Abel. Meanwhile, U.S. stock markets kicked off 2026 with a four-day losing streak despite recording double-digit gains for three consecutive years in 2025, leaving investors wondering if the new year will reverse the recent downturn.
- Major indexes (Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq) all down more than 1% to start 2026, though strategists remain optimistic about the year ahead
- Tech companies' massive AI data center buildouts face bipartisan political pushback over electricity usage and environmental concerns ahead of 2026 midterms
- Airlines diverge between premium expansion (Delta's business class, JetBlue lounges) and budget carrier struggles, with Spirit Airlines in its second bankruptcy
The US economy entered 2026 with strong GDP growth of 2.8% and rising stock markets, but underlying weaknesses persist as unemployment rose to 4.6%, wage growth slowed, and households continue struggling with elevated prices despite inflation cooling to 2.7%. Policy stimulus in 2026 through tax cuts and Fed rate cuts may boost short-term growth, but the economy remains narrowly supported by asset prices and technology investment rather than broad-based expansion.
- Labor market deterioration accelerated with unemployment rising 0.5 points to 4.6%, minimal job growth outside healthcare, and over 10% of workers experiencing pay cuts
- Despite inflation falling to 2.7%, 70% of Americans report struggling to afford basics as food, housing, and utilities remain far above pre-pandemic levels
- Wall Street expects S&P 500 gains to moderate to single digits in 2026 after three years of double-digit returns, potentially limiting wealth effects that have supported consumption
Fed Chair Jerome Powell refuses to say whether he'll remain on the Federal Reserve Board when his chairmanship ends in May 2026, despite having two years left as governor. This decision carries major implications for the Fed's independence as President Trump could gain majority control of the Board if Powell departs, potentially enabling Trump's push for ultra-low interest rates.
- Three Trump appointees currently sit on the seven-member Board of Governors; Powell's departure would immediately give Trump a majority
- The 1934 Banking Act appears to give a board majority the power to fire individual bank presidents who oppose rate cuts
- Powell faces a personal vs. professional dilemma: ready for civilian life after 13 years but concerned about protecting Fed independence from unprecedented presidential pressure
The Trump administration has scaled back proposed tariffs on Italian pasta makers from up to 92% to 2.26%-13.98% following a Department of Commerce investigation. This decision affects Italy's $800 million pasta export market to the U.S. after officials found Italian producers had addressed concerns about unfairly low pricing.
- La Molisana's tariff was reduced to 2.26% and Garofalo's to 13.98%, while 11 other producers face a 9.09% duty, down from the originally proposed rates of up to 92%
- Italian pasta makers had warned the initial tariffs would effectively shut them out of the U.S. market, worth nearly $800 million in exports annually
- Final rates will be announced March 12 (with possible 60-day extension), as Italy's foreign ministry praised U.S. recognition of companies' 'constructive willingness to cooperate'
MarketBeat identifies financials, industrials, and utilities as three sectors trading below fair value entering 2026, as investors rotate away from overvalued tech and AI stocks. The article highlights specific undervalued stocks within each sector that could outperform their respective ETFs as rate cuts, infrastructure spending, and data center energy demand drive growth.
- Financial stocks like Capital One, PNC, and Bank of America trade below the sector's 16.5x forward P/E ratio, with expected rate cuts in early 2026 potentially boosting bank earnings
- Industrial names including Boeing, Union Pacific, and Honeywell offer value below the sector's 24x P/E average as infrastructure demand and capital expenditure revival accelerate
- Utilities sector stocks such as Exelon, PG&E, and Algonquin trade at discounts to the 18x sector P/E, positioned to benefit from surging data center power needs
The US dollar posted its worst annual performance since 2017, falling about 8% against a basket of foreign currencies due to President Trump's 'Liberation Day' tariffs in April, Federal Reserve turmoil, and economic uncertainty. The dollar's historic first-half slide erased a decade's worth of gains from its long bull run, while stubborn inflation and foreign investor pullbacks compounded the currency's weakness.
- April tariff blitz proved the turning point, with Trump imposing 10% baseline duties that sent the S&P 500 down 13% in a week and triggered the dollar's steepest six-month decline in over half a century
- China reduced Treasury holdings to 2008 lows while global asset managers increased hedges against dollar weakness, with core inflation hovering near 3% limiting Fed flexibility
- Markets anticipate additional Fed rate cuts in 2026 as Kevin Hassett emerges as frontrunner to replace Jerome Powell in May, further undermining the dollar's yield advantage
Indian tobacco stocks plummeted after the government announced a new tobacco cess tax ranging from 2,050 to 8,500 rupees per 1,000 cigarette sticks, effective February 1. ITC, India's cigarette market leader, fell 9.2% while Godfrey Phillips dropped 14.1%, with analysts warning the move could hurt sales volumes and force price increases.
- The new cess will increase overall costs by 22%-28% for 75-85mm cigarettes and applies in addition to the existing 40% GST, potentially adding 2-3 rupees per cigarette stick
- Jefferies analysts called the move 'a clear negative' that would revive market share concerns, while ITC became the biggest loser on the Nifty 50 index
- Cigarettes longer than 75mm account for approximately 16% of ITC's volumes and face the steepest tax burden under the government's health-focused consumption curbs
US stock markets closed lower on the final trading day of 2025, with the S&P 500 falling 0.74% and Nasdaq dropping 0.76% amid thin holiday trading volumes. Despite the year-end pullback, all major indices posted strong double-digit gains for 2025, driven primarily by AI-related stocks, marking a three-year winning streak.
- AI stocks dominated 2025 performance with Nvidia surging 39% to become the first $5 trillion company, while Alphabet gained 65% and tech hardware names like Micron tripled
- The expected 'Santa Claus rally' failed to materialize as tech and energy sectors weighed on indices, with Microsoft down 0.8% in light volume
- Market concentration in AI-driven gains raises concerns about broader participation needed for continued strength in 2026
Wall Street ended 2025 near record highs with the S&P 500 gaining 16.4% for the year, driven by sustained tech stock rallies and AI enthusiasm despite economic uncertainty and Trump's tariff threats. The tech-heavy Nasdaq surged 20.5% while the Dow Jones rose 13.4%, though the rally has deepened inequality by disproportionately benefiting wealthy investors.
- Nvidia led the AI boom with a 34.8% gain to reach $4.55 trillion valuation, becoming the world's most valuable company as the entire Nasdaq has surged 110% since ChatGPT's November 2022 launch
- Trump's aggressive tariff plans initially spooked markets but investors adopted a 'Trump Always Chickens Out' stance, though US tariffs have still reached their highest levels since 1935
- Despite market gains, twice as many Americans expect the economy to weaken rather than strengthen, highlighting a 'two-track economy' that leaves those without investment portfolios feeling left behind
Schaeffers Research has identified 25 stocks with significant short squeeze potential for early 2026, based on analysis of short interest data from December 15. The screen focuses on stocks where short sellers may be facing substantial losses and could be forced to cover their positions, with notable candidates including Oklo (OKLO), IREN (IREN), and quantum computing company Rigetti Computing (RGTI).
- The analysis examines stocks with high short interest as a percentage of float and tracks how much short positions have increased over the past month
- Methodology estimates short sellers' entry prices by averaging stock prices from two weeks before shorts were added over the past year
- Several of the firm's recent options trades have yielded triple-digit returns, including RKLB (+342%), WMT (+300%), and MDT (+218%)