More Fed hikes on the horizon? Here's what you need to know

CNBC Television | October 09, 2026 at 06:15 PM UTC
Bearish 90% Confidence
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Key Points

  • Former President Trump has announced a 'committee of inquiry' to investigate Fed Governor Lisa Cook, which is viewed by some as a politically motivated attack on the Fed's independence.
  • The Federal Reserve remains hawkish, with some officials suggesting more rate hikes are necessary to combat inflation, especially as public inflation expectations are rising due to factors like gas prices.
  • Despite the hawkish rhetoric, the market currently assigns only a 20% probability to an October rate hike, indicating a potential disconnect or a desire for more data before further action.

AI Summary

The discussion covers former President Trump's announcement of an inquiry into Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, which is seen as a political attack on the Fed's independence. Concurrently, the Fed maintains a hawkish stance with some members advocating for more rate hikes, driven by rising inflation expectations, despite low market odds for an October hike.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bearish 90%
Consensus Bearish 90%