'Buy bonds,' says market forecaster Jim Bianco

CNBC Television | October 08, 2026 at 12:45 AM UTC
Bullish 90% Confidence
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Key Points

  • Bianco is positive on bonds for the first time since 2020, stating 'math works again' at current yields.
  • Benchmark 10-year Treasury yield in the 5% range finally reflects a 'normal' 5% nominal economy (3% inflation + 2% real growth).
  • Bonds are no longer expensive and offer value, with buying opportunities from 5-year maturities and longer.
  • While some low-rated corporate credits face refinancing challenges, overall corporate debt has been deleveraging, and the market can handle current levels.

AI Summary

Long-time bond bear Jim Bianco has turned bullish on bonds, arguing that current 5%+ yields across the curve now reflect economic fundamentals and offer fair value. He recommends buying bonds from the 5-year maturity onwards, viewing the current rate environment as a return to normalcy after an abnormal decade.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bullish 90%
Consensus Bullish 90%