US Adds 29,000 Jobs in September, Jobless Rate Rises

Bloomberg Markets and Finance | October 02, 2026 at 01:30 PM UTC
Bullish 95% Confidence
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Key Points

  • US September nonfarm payrolls rose by only 29,000, significantly below the 90,000 estimate, with a net revision subtracting 60,000 jobs from prior months.
  • The unemployment rate increased to 4.2% (vs. 4.1% est.), and average hourly earnings grew by a mere 0.1% M/M (vs. 0.3% est.).
  • Equity futures (S&P, Nasdaq, Russell) surged, bond yields (2-year, 10-year, 30-year) plunged, and the dollar weakened, as markets interpreted the data as reducing the urgency for the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates.

AI Summary

The September US jobs report showed significantly weaker-than-expected payroll growth (29k vs. 90k est.) and subdued wage increases, while the unemployment rate ticked up. This 'dovish' report led to a rally in equity futures, a plunge in bond yields, and a weaker dollar, as traders pared back expectations for aggressive Fed rate hikes.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bullish 95%
Consensus Bullish 95%