Nasdaq rises as chip stocks gain, but Treasury yields hit multidecade highs
Key Points
- Chip stocks advanced on strong AI demand, with Micron reporting revenue that quadrupled and profit margins reaching 87%, plus $32 billion in customer commitments
- The 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.342%, surpassing its June 2007 high, driven by rising energy costs, government borrowing, and AI infrastructure investment
- Traders priced in a 63% probability the Federal Reserve would hold rates steady in October, though a December hike remained possible with inflation above the 2% target
AI Summary
Market Summary: Nasdaq Rises on Chip Gains Despite Treasury Yield Surge
Key Market Movements
US equities opened higher Thursday, with the Nasdaq Composite gaining 0.45% (125 points), S&P 500 up 0.23%, and Dow Jones adding 0.38%. The advance was driven by strong performance in AI-related chip stocks and consulting firms, though multidecade-high Treasury yields posed significant headwinds.
Sector Performance
Semiconductors: Micron led chip stock gains with strong AI memory demand, securing $32 billion in customer commitments. Revenue quadrupled with profit margins hitting 87%. Other chip stocks advanced: Nvidia +0.47%, Lam Research +2.03%, alongside gains in AMD and Broadcom. Alphabet rose 1.49% after unveiling its Gemini 4 AI model.
Consulting: Accenture surged 22% on above-estimate revenue guidance, lifting peers Cognizant (+11%) and IBM (+6.3%).
Energy/Infrastructure: Constellation Energy gained 5% on a 20-year Amazon power agreement. Rocket Lab added 1.4% on its largest commercial launch contract (20 launches with Synspective).
Treasury Yield Concerns
The 10-year Treasury yield reached 5.342%—its highest since 2002 and surpassing June 2007 levels—while the 30-year yield hit 5.68%. Rising energy costs (WTI crude at $90.76), heavy government borrowing, and AI infrastructure investment fueled rate concerns.
Fed Outlook
Markets priced in a 63% probability of unchanged rates in October, though December hikes remain possible with inflation above the Fed's 2% target. Weekly jobless claims and layoffs declined, indicating labor market stability.
Context
September saw Nasdaq outperform (+1.9%) versus S&P 500 (-0.5%) and Dow (-4.3%), continuing AI-driven technology leadership entering Q4.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| GPT-5-mini | Bullish | 80% |
| Claude 4.5 Haiku | Bullish | 78% |
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Bullish | 90% |
| Consensus | Bullish | 82% |