Yardeni 'Not Convinced' 5.25% Is the Top in Yields
Bloomberg Markets and Finance
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September 29, 2026 at 01:16 PM UTC
Bearish
90% Confidence
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Key Points
- Bonds yielding 5.25% are attractive, but Yardeni is 'not convinced' this is the peak.
- He suggests yields could go higher, possibly to 5.5% or even closer to 6%, driven by 'bond vigilantes' and sticky inflation.
- Central banks are in a 'tightening mode' due to higher oil prices and persistent inflation, pushing bond yields up.
AI Summary
Edward Yardeni believes that while current bond yields around 5.25% are attractive, he is not convinced they have peaked and expects them to rise further, potentially to 5.5% or even closer to 6%. He attributes this to the 'revenge of the bond vigilantes' reacting to accumulated debt and sticky inflation, leading central banks to remain in a tightening mode.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Bearish | 90% |
| Consensus | Bearish | 90% |