Yardeni 'Not Convinced' 5.25% Is the Top in Yields

Bloomberg Markets and Finance | September 29, 2026 at 01:16 PM UTC
Bearish 90% Confidence
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Key Points

  • Bonds yielding 5.25% are attractive, but Yardeni is 'not convinced' this is the peak.
  • He suggests yields could go higher, possibly to 5.5% or even closer to 6%, driven by 'bond vigilantes' and sticky inflation.
  • Central banks are in a 'tightening mode' due to higher oil prices and persistent inflation, pushing bond yields up.

AI Summary

Edward Yardeni believes that while current bond yields around 5.25% are attractive, he is not convinced they have peaked and expects them to rise further, potentially to 5.5% or even closer to 6%. He attributes this to the 'revenge of the bond vigilantes' reacting to accumulated debt and sticky inflation, leading central banks to remain in a tightening mode.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bearish 90%
Consensus Bearish 90%