Not expecting the Fed's rate hiking cycle to derail the broader earnings narrative: Mona Mahajan
CNBC Television
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September 23, 2026 at 01:30 PM UTC
Bullish
95% Confidence
Watch on YouTube
Key Points
- The Fed's recent rate hike was a unified move to establish credibility in fighting inflation, leading to an immediate rollover in inflation expectations.
- The current rate hiking cycle is seen as a 'mid-cycle adjustment' with potentially 2-3 more hikes, which the economy is expected to handle without derailing broader economic or earnings narratives.
- S&P 500 earnings growth is projected at 30% this year, primarily driven by tech and related sectors, with a more modest and balanced 15% growth expected next year.
- Treasury yields have risen due to solid economic growth and inflation uncertainty, but core inflation remains contained, and a wage-price spiral has been avoided, which is crucial for the Fed.
AI Summary
Mona Mahajan of Edward Jones discusses the Fed's recent quarter-point rate hike, viewing it as a mid-cycle adjustment rather than a full hiking cycle. She believes the economy can handle further modest rate increases, citing healthy GDP and labor market projections. While acknowledging a K-shaped economy and bifurcated earnings growth, she remains optimistic about the stock market's potential for continued returns.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Bullish | 95% |
| Consensus | Bullish | 95% |