Not expecting the Fed's rate hiking cycle to derail the broader earnings narrative: Mona Mahajan

CNBC Television | September 23, 2026 at 01:30 PM UTC
Bullish 95% Confidence
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Key Points

  • The Fed's recent rate hike was a unified move to establish credibility in fighting inflation, leading to an immediate rollover in inflation expectations.
  • The current rate hiking cycle is seen as a 'mid-cycle adjustment' with potentially 2-3 more hikes, which the economy is expected to handle without derailing broader economic or earnings narratives.
  • S&P 500 earnings growth is projected at 30% this year, primarily driven by tech and related sectors, with a more modest and balanced 15% growth expected next year.
  • Treasury yields have risen due to solid economic growth and inflation uncertainty, but core inflation remains contained, and a wage-price spiral has been avoided, which is crucial for the Fed.

AI Summary

Mona Mahajan of Edward Jones discusses the Fed's recent quarter-point rate hike, viewing it as a mid-cycle adjustment rather than a full hiking cycle. She believes the economy can handle further modest rate increases, citing healthy GDP and labor market projections. While acknowledging a K-shaped economy and bifurcated earnings growth, she remains optimistic about the stock market's potential for continued returns.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bullish 95%
Consensus Bullish 95%