AI Spend Has Been 'Critical' for US Economy, Says Torsten Slok

Bloomberg Markets and Finance | September 18, 2026 at 06:17 PM UTC
Bullish 90% Confidence
Watch on YouTube

Key Points

  • AI spending and government initiatives are providing strong, non-interest-rate-sensitive tailwinds for the US economy, driving GDP growth.
  • High interest rates are impacting housing and auto sectors, but these are smaller compared to the AI and government spending boosts.
  • AI has significantly driven S&P 500 returns and venture capital, leading to potential overexposure in investor portfolios, necessitating diversification into non-AI assets.
  • Europe's economy is supported by defense and infrastructure spending, despite political and fiscal headwinds, but lags in AI development.

AI Summary

Torsten Slok emphasizes that the US economy is experiencing significant tailwinds from the AI spending boom and government spending, which are currently outweighing the negative effects of high interest rates on sectors like housing. He also notes the broad distribution of wealth among small business owners and the pervasive influence of AI across investment portfolios, suggesting a need for diversification. Europe faces political and fiscal challenges but benefits from increased defense and infrastructure spending.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bullish 90%
Consensus Bullish 90%