Dale Smothers Makes Interest Rate Hold Case as Kevin Warsh Faces "Trapeze Act"

Schwab Network | September 16, 2026 at 05:46 PM UTC
Bullish 85% Confidence
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Key Points

  • Smothers argues the Fed could hold rates, citing low core inflation (ex-food/energy) since 2021, despite the market pricing in a 25 bps hike.
  • He believes a rate hike, if it occurs, will not 'kill the bull run' as it's largely priced in, and earnings growth continues to drive the market.
  • Smothers is bullish on the AI trade, expecting it to continue well into 2028 due to sustained spending and revenue growth.
  • Key stock picks include Apple (AAPL), Marvell (MRVL), Palantir (PLTR), and the Innovator Growth Power Buffer ETF (NSEP) for a 'seatbelt' approach to AI investing.

AI Summary

Dale Smothers discusses the upcoming Fed interest rate decision, suggesting the Fed has reasons to hold rates despite market expectations for a hike, especially when stripping out food and energy inflation. He maintains a bullish outlook on the market, particularly the AI trade, and provides specific stock recommendations within the tech sector.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bullish 85%
Consensus Bullish 85%