Everything Is Now Bullish for Treasuries: 3-Minutes MLIV
Bloomberg Markets and Finance
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September 14, 2026 at 07:45 AM UTC
Bullish
95% Confidence
Watch on YouTube
Key Points
- AI CapEx bubble has been the most important market theme for the past two years, driving growth and stock markets.
- A slowdown or 'deflation' in AI CapEx, potentially due to increased regulation, would be a 'momentous moment' for markets.
- This potential AI slowdown, coupled with a likely Fed hike this week, high oil prices, and elevated Treasury yields, creates a 'bullish impetus' for Treasuries.
AI Summary
The discussion centers on the potential slowdown of the AI capital expenditure bubble, which has been a major driver for global stock markets and US GDP. While this could be negative for growth and jobs, the analyst believes it signals a 'bullish turning point' for Treasuries, especially when combined with other factors like a likely Fed hike and high oil prices.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Bullish | 95% |
| Consensus | Bullish | 95% |