Refining Bottleneck Sends Diesel to Record High
Bloomberg Markets and Finance
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September 13, 2026 at 03:31 PM UTC
Bearish
95% Confidence
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Key Points
- Gas and diesel prices are surging, with Americans paying nearly three-quarters of a billion dollars more today compared to a year ago.
- The primary issue is a refining bottleneck, not just crude oil supply, with Russian refinery attacks impacting diesel and global refining capacity remaining constrained.
- US refineries are operating at 98% capacity, the highest rates since 1999, indicating minimal flexibility to increase output or easily shift production between gasoline and diesel.
AI Summary
Gas and diesel prices are jumping due to a complex refining bottleneck, exacerbated by attacks on Russian refineries and limited global capacity. US refineries are operating at near-record utilization, leaving little room to boost supply. Simply increasing crude oil production won't solve the problem without addressing these refining constraints.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Bearish | 95% |
| Consensus | Bearish | 95% |