Refining Bottleneck Sends Diesel to Record High

Bloomberg Markets and Finance | September 13, 2026 at 03:31 PM UTC
Bearish 95% Confidence
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Key Points

  • Gas and diesel prices are surging, with Americans paying nearly three-quarters of a billion dollars more today compared to a year ago.
  • The primary issue is a refining bottleneck, not just crude oil supply, with Russian refinery attacks impacting diesel and global refining capacity remaining constrained.
  • US refineries are operating at 98% capacity, the highest rates since 1999, indicating minimal flexibility to increase output or easily shift production between gasoline and diesel.

AI Summary

Gas and diesel prices are jumping due to a complex refining bottleneck, exacerbated by attacks on Russian refineries and limited global capacity. US refineries are operating at near-record utilization, leaving little room to boost supply. Simply increasing crude oil production won't solve the problem without addressing these refining constraints.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bearish 95%
Consensus Bearish 95%