Why Walmart Is Taking on DoorDash and Uber Eats With Donuts, Coffee, and Sandwiches

CNBC | September 05, 2026 at 03:01 PM UTC
Bullish 78% Confidence Unanimous Agreement
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Key Points

  • Walmart's fast delivery (under 30 minutes) grew 48% in Q2, with restaurant delivery introducing customers to Express Delivery—one in five combined Subway-Walmart orders were first-time users of the service
  • The strategy relies on attaching low-margin restaurant orders (coffee and donuts) to existing grocery baskets, as standalone food delivery economics are unprofitable due to low order values and time sensitivity
  • Walmart will expand Dunkin' delivery to most of the chain's approximately 10,000 U.S. locations over the next year, operating through its Spark Driver platform with a fundamentally different cost structure than competitors

AI Summary

Market Summary: Walmart Challenges DoorDash and Uber Eats with Restaurant Delivery Expansion

Key Developments

Walmart announced plans to deliver Dunkin' products to customers' homes, initially from in-store locations before expanding to approximately 10,000 standalone Dunkin' locations nationwide over the next year. This follows an earlier partnership with Subway and represents a direct challenge to established food delivery platforms DoorDash and Uber Eats through its new Walmart Restaurant Delivery service.

Strategic Advantages

Walmart's primary competitive edge lies in its proximity to consumers—90% of Americans live within 10 miles of a Walmart store—combined with its existing Spark Driver delivery network and logistics infrastructure. The company's Q2 earnings showed fast delivery (under 30 minutes) grew 48% quarter-over-quarter, despite overall sales weakness that pressured the stock.

Business Model and Economics

Industry analysts emphasize that standalone coffee and donut delivery is unprofitable due to low order values and time-sensitivity. However, Walmart's strategy focuses on attaching restaurant items to existing grocery orders, increasing basket size and order frequency. Data shows one in five combined Subway-Walmart orders were customers' first Express Delivery use, with nearly 30% returning within 30 days.

Market Implications

Experts view this as Walmart transitioning from in-store partnerships to a full restaurant delivery marketplace, fundamentally different from DoorDash and Uber Eats' pure-play model. Success depends on maintaining delivery density, optimizing routing, and meeting customer expectations for speed and food temperature—particularly challenging in rural areas during off-peak hours.

The expansion represents incremental revenue opportunity through increased app engagement, potentially transforming weekly grocery orders into daily purchasing patterns while leveraging existing infrastructure against established competitors.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
GPT-5-mini Bullish 80%
Claude 4.5 Haiku Bullish 75%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bullish 80%
Consensus Bullish 78%