Gabe Daoud: The U.S. natural gas market is really in an interesting position

CNBC Television | August 14, 2026 at 04:01 PM UTC
Bullish 80% Confidence
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Key Points

  • Europe faces an energy crunch with natural gas storage levels around 60%, well below the typical 80% for this time of year, and unlikely to hit the 90% target for winter.
  • The U.S. natural gas market is well-supplied, with storage levels about 6% above normal, driven by mild weather earlier in the year and planned/unplanned LNG export maintenance.
  • A potential 'Super El NiƱo' could impact heating demand in the U.S., but a warm U.S. winter would incentivize more LNG exports to Europe, benefiting U.S. producers.
  • EQT Corp is highlighted as a favored U.S. natural gas producer due to its low cost of supply and integrated midstream business, generating free cash flow even at low gas prices.

AI Summary

The discussion centers on Europe's looming energy crunch, exacerbated by heat, drought, and geopolitical tensions. The U.S. natural gas market is in a strong position with above-normal storage levels, potentially allowing for increased LNG exports to Europe. This creates opportunities for U.S. natural gas producers, especially those with low production costs and integrated midstream operations.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bullish 80%
Consensus Bullish 80%