US Retail Sales Drop More Than Expected in July
Bloomberg Markets and Finance
|
August 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM UTC
Neutral
85% Confidence
Watch on YouTube
Key Points
- US July retail sales fell 0.6% M/M, significantly below the estimated 0.1% rise.
- Retail sales ex-auto fell 0.3% M/M, and the 'control group' sales (used for GDP) fell 0.4% M/M.
- Key weak areas included motor vehicles & parts (-1.8%) and non-store retailers (-2.2%), while clothing and general merchandise stores saw increases.
- US 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields declined following the report, while equity futures remained marginally positive.
- BofA Securities economist Aditya Bhave considers the dip a 'one-off' event, citing Prime Day's shift to June and a July 4th heatwave, maintaining a view of strong underlying spending.
AI Summary
US retail sales fell more than expected in July, declining 0.6% month-over-month against a forecast of a 0.1% rise, with significant drops in auto and non-store retail sales. Despite the disappointing headline figures, an economist from BofA Securities views this as a 'one-off blip' due to factors like Prime Day timing and a heatwave, suggesting underlying consumer spending remains resilient.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Neutral | 85% |
| Consensus | Neutral | 85% |