Whatever the Fed is doing has not been working, says Verdence's Megan Horneman
CNBC Television
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August 13, 2026 at 12:01 PM UTC
Bearish
95% Confidence
Watch on YouTube
Key Points
- The market is too optimistic about the Fed's future actions; the Fed remains hawkish and inflation is still too high.
- Earnings growth expectations for this year and next are very high and at risk, especially for tech stocks.
- Long-term bonds are a big risk, with 10-year and 30-year Treasury yields at multi-year highs.
AI Summary
Megan Horneman of Verdence Capital Advisors expresses a cautious outlook on the markets, believing investors are too optimistic about the Fed's actions and inflation. She highlights risks from a hawkish Fed, high earnings expectations, and potential issues in the bond market, suggesting that current market conditions are unsustainable.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Bearish | 95% |
| Consensus | Bearish | 95% |