Pakistan Says Deal Is Close Even as Iran, US Harden Stances

• Iran has created a new, disruptive navigational order in the Strait of Hormuz, unlikely to revert to previous maritime arrangements.
• Iran aims to convert wartime disruption into lasting geopolitical advantage and control over the Strait, making negotiations difficult.
• Old shipping routes are reportedly mined, and clearing them will be a long and challenging process, further cementing Iran's leverage.

The analysis highlights Iran's establishment of a 'new navigational order' in the Strait of Hormuz, leveraging wartime disruptions for lasting influence. It suggests a return to pre-conflict shipping routes is unlikely due to reported mines and Iran's desire for control, leading to continued uncertainty and potential impacts on oil markets despite current workarounds.