The Fed should hike interest rates, says SMBC's Joe Lavorgna

CNBC Television | July 28, 2026 at 08:00 PM UTC
Bearish 90% Confidence
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Key Points

  • Joe Lavorgna believes the Fed should hike rates now, as the economy is 'fine' and inflation risks are to the upside.
  • He emphasizes that historically, inflation has only returned to target when the Fed has tightened, and current monetary policy (excluding housing) is not tight.
  • Steve Liesman highlights that a hike tomorrow would be a market surprise, potentially leading to 'much more hawkish pricing' than currently anticipated.

AI Summary

SMBC Chief Economist Joe Lavorgna advocates for an immediate Fed interest rate hike, citing a healthy economy and persistent inflation risks. He argues that the Fed needs to 'take back' last year's easing to restore credibility, suggesting a surprise hike would be a 'mild surprise' but necessary. CNBC's Steve Liesman questions the market implications of such an untelegraphed move.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bearish 90%
Consensus Bearish 90%