Costco April Sales Beat Estimates Despite Easter Shift, Macro Uncertainty
Key Points
- After adjusting for Easter timing, US comparable sales excluding gas and foreign exchange rose 6.3% in April, down from 7.7% in March, though two-year stacked comparisons improved
- Gasoline business drove strong ancillary performance with growth in the low-40% range, as average worldwide gas prices increased 26.7% year-over-year and added 320 basis points to total comparable sales
- E-commerce remained a bright spot with digitally enabled comparable sales rising 18.4% excluding foreign exchange, while regional strength came from Midwest, Southeast, and Northeast US markets
AI Summary
Costco April Sales Summary
Key Performance Metrics:
Costco reported strong April sales results for the four weeks ended May 3, 2026, with total sales growth of 13%. US comparable sales excluding gas rose 8%, while total company comparable sales (excluding gas and foreign exchange) increased 7.8%.
Easter Timing Impact:
Adjusting for the Easter calendar shift, US comparable sales excluding gas and foreign exchange rose 6.3% in April, down from March's 7.7% increase. However, Bank of America noted improved two-year stacked comparisons. Average ticket growth slowed to 3.4% from 4.6% in March, which had benefited from pre-Easter purchasing activity.
Analyst Rating:
Bank of America reiterated its Buy rating with a $1,185 price target, citing Costco's consistent comparable sales performance and "philosophy of leading with value" despite macroeconomic uncertainty.
Gasoline Business Strength:
Gasoline sales showed exceptional momentum, growing in the low-40% range. Gas price inflation added approximately 320 basis points to total comparable sales growth, with average worldwide selling price per gallon up 26.7% year-over-year. Ancillary comparable sales (including gas) reached mid-30% growth for March-April combined.
Category Performance:
Non-foods showed mid-to-high single-digit growth, while Food and Sundries remained at low-to-mid single-digit growth. Fresh category sales slowed slightly. Food and Sundries inflation stayed in low-single digits, partially offset by egg and dairy deflation.
Regional and Digital Performance:
Strongest US performance came from Midwest, Southeast, and Northeast regions. Canadian comparable sales accelerated to 7.6% (excluding gas and FX). E-commerce remained robust with 18.4% growth in digitally enabled comparable sales.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| GPT-5-mini | Bullish | 80% |
| Claude 4.5 Haiku | Bullish | 75% |
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Bullish | 85% |
| Consensus | Bullish | 80% |