Merck Posts Q Loss on Cidara Charge; Sales Rise 5%
Key Points
- Keytruda sales rose 12% to $8 billion, exceeding analyst estimates of $7.6 billion, including $128 million from a newer formulation of the world's top-selling prescription drug
- Winrevair sales surged 88% to $525 million, beating expectations of $479 million, while animal health sales jumped 13% to $1.8 billion
- Diabetes drug Januvia sales fell 28% to $574 million due to lower U.S. demand and generic competition, while HPV vaccine Gardasil declined 19% to $1.07 billion
AI Summary
Merck Q1 2025 Summary
Financial Performance:
Merck & Co reported a first-quarter loss driven by acquisition-related charges, despite a 5% increase in product sales. Q1 revenue rose to $16.3 billion from $15.5 billion year-over-year, exceeding Wall Street's estimate of $15.8 billion. The company posted an adjusted loss of $1.28 per share, including a $3.62 per share charge related to its Cidara Therapeutics acquisition.
Full-Year Guidance:
Merck narrowed its 2026 profit forecast to $5.04-$5.16 per share, raising the midpoint. The outlook excludes a planned $2.35 per share one-time charge from an upcoming biotech acquisition. Analysts had projected 2026 profit at $5.12 per share.
Key Product Performance:
- Keytruda (cancer immunotherapy): Sales jumped 12% to $8 billion, beating estimates of $7.6 billion. Results include $128 million from a newer formulation of the world's top-selling prescription drug.
- Winrevair (lung disease): Revenue surged 88% to $525 million, above the $479 million analyst estimate.
- Januvia (diabetes): Sales declined 28% to $574 million due to lower U.S. demand, pricing pressure, and international generic competition.
- Gardasil (HPV vaccine): Revenue fell 19% to $1.07 billion.
- Animal Health: Strong performance with sales rising 13% to $1.8 billion.
Market Implications:
Merck's core oncology and respiratory franchises demonstrate robust growth, offsetting legacy product declines. The Cidara acquisition signals strategic investment in pipeline expansion despite near-term earnings pressure.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| GPT-5-mini | Bullish | 80% |
| Claude 4.5 Haiku | Bullish | 78% |
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Bullish | 85% |
| Consensus | Bullish | 81% |