Stock markets stumble as global trade faces more Trump tariff uncertainty

The Guardian | February 23, 2026 at 06:37 PM UTC
Bearish 88% Confidence Unanimous Agreement
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Key Points

  • Trump invoked a never-before-used section of the Trade Act of 1974 to implement the 15% temporary tariffs after the Supreme Court ruled his emergency measures illegal
  • Polling shows 63% of registered voters disapprove of Trump's tariff handling, with most Americans reporting increased prices and even Republicans four times more likely to say tariffs raised costs than lowered them
  • Trump threatened countries attempting to 'play games' with the ruling would face 'much higher' tariffs, raising concerns among Republicans ahead of November midterm elections

AI Summary

Market Summary: Trump Tariff Uncertainty Rattles Global Markets

Key Developments:

Stock markets declined Monday following President Trump's announcement of sweeping new tariffs despite a Supreme Court ruling that his previous tariff measures exceeded legal authority. Trump initially declared a 10% temporary tariff on all U.S. imports before increasing it to 15%, invoking an unprecedented section of the Trade Act of 1974.

Market Impact:

Global trade uncertainty spooked investors, triggering drops in U.S. markets as Trump threatened additional tariffs against countries that "play games" with the court decision. The president warned of "much higher" tariffs for nations reassessing trade agreements, escalating concerns about an expanding trade war.

Political and Economic Context:

Domestic opposition to Trump's trade policies is growing significantly. A YouGov poll conducted after Friday's Supreme Court ruling showed 60% of Americans support the decision to strike down Trump's tariff regime, including 88% of Democrats, 63% of independents, and 30% of Republicans.

Consumer sentiment has soured, with most Americans reporting higher prices due to tariffs. Republicans were four times more likely to acknowledge tariffs increased costs rather than reduced them. A separate poll revealed 63% of registered voters disapprove of Trump's tariff handling, with only 37% approval—a concerning trend ahead of November midterm elections.

Outlook:

The combination of legal challenges, bipartisan public opposition, and inflationary pressures from tariffs creates significant uncertainty for markets. Trump's aggressive stance suggests continued volatility in global trade relationships and equity markets as the situation develops.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
GPT-5-mini Bearish 80%
Claude 4.5 Haiku Bearish 90%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bearish 95%
Consensus Bearish 88%