Nasdaq Index and S&P500: All Three Major US Indices Fall Below 50-Day Moving Averages
Key Points
- The S&P 500 was rejected at the 61.8% Fibonacci level of 6915.65 and fell below its 50-day MA at 6986.68, with key support now at the 6845-6829 retracement zone.
- The Nasdaq failed to break above the major 50% level at 22959.14 and could test support at 22602-22521, with the 200-day MA at 21903.72 becoming relevant if selling intensifies.
- The Dow crossed below its 50-day MA at 49027.98 for the first time since November 25, ending a rally that produced record highs before peaking at 50512.79 on February 10.
AI Summary
Market Summary: US Major Indices Break Below Key Technical Levels
Key Developments
All three major US stock indices fell below their 50-day moving averages on February 23, 2026, marking a significant technical deterioration. The Dow Jones Industrial Average crossed below this key indicator for the first time since November 25, ending a rally that produced multiple record highs before topping at 50,512.79 on February 10.
Index-Specific Performance
S&P 500: Declined after rejection at the 61.8% Fibonacci level (6,915.65), breaking through the 50-day MA at 6,986.68 and 50% level at 6,888.89. A new short-term trading range of 6,775.50 to 6,915.86 has formed, with critical support at 6,845-6,829. Bulls need to reclaim the 50-day MA to target 6,993-7,002.
Nasdaq Composite: Rejected at the major 50% retracement level (22,959.14). Key support lies in the 22,602-22,521 zone. Downside risk extends to the long-term retracement zone of 22,290-21,882, near the 200-day MA at 21,903.72.
Dow Jones: Now trades below its 50-day MA at 49,027.98, with potential weakness toward the 48,121-47,556 support zone.
Market Implications
The synchronized weakness across all three indices suggests broad-based selling pressure rather than sector rotation, potentially indicating capital reallocation from equities to cash. This technical breakdown raises concerns about near-term market direction and increases downside risk across major equity benchmarks.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| GPT-5-mini | Bearish | 80% |
| Claude 4.5 Haiku | Bearish | 82% |
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Bearish | 90% |
| Consensus | Bearish | 84% |