'Economic Armageddon' about both inflation and growth have not played out: Jefferies' David Zervos

CNBC Television | February 19, 2026 at 08:46 PM UTC
Bullish 80% Confidence
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Key Points

  • Predictions of 'economic armageddon' on inflation and growth have not played out, with CPI at 2.4% (levels seen post-COVID surge).
  • Fears of deglobalization were overblown; trade has been 'our friend' with deficits coming down and net exports positively contributing to GDP.
  • The budget deficit to GDP ratio has decreased to 5.7%, a significant improvement from over 7% that many have overlooked.

AI Summary

David Zervos of Jefferies argues that predictions of 'economic armageddon' regarding inflation and growth have not materialized, with CPI at 2.4% and trade deficits improving. He dismisses fears of deglobalization, noting that while trade patterns are shifting, the overall economic outlook is more resilient than many economists predicted.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bullish 80%
Consensus Bullish 80%