The Trump administration doesn't want states regulating prediction markets

Yahoo Finance | February 18, 2026 at 07:15 PM UTC
Neutral 85% Confidence
Watch on YouTube

Key Points

  • The Trump administration's CFTC claims federal authority over prediction markets, challenging states attempting to regulate them as gambling.
  • States like Massachusetts and Tennessee have accused prediction market companies (Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com) of running unlicensed sports wagering operations.
  • The companies and the Trump administration argue their offerings are not gambling, seeking to sidestep state gambling laws.
  • Utah's Republican Governor, Spencer Cox, publicly challenged the CFTC's stance, calling prediction markets 'gambling—pure and simple.'

AI Summary

The video details a regulatory conflict between the Trump administration's CFTC and several U.S. states over prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. The CFTC asserts federal authority, viewing these as derivatives, while states allege they operate as illegal sportsbooks. The outcome of these legal battles will determine the future regulatory landscape for the prediction market industry.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Neutral 85%
Consensus Neutral 85%