Airbnb Exceeds Revenue Expectations in Q4 Results
Key Points
- Revenue of $2.78 billion beat the $2.72 billion estimate, marking the 20th time in 21 quarters that Airbnb exceeded Wall Street revenue expectations
- Nights and seats booked reached 121.9 million (up 10% YoY) and gross booking value totaled $20.4 billion (up 16% YoY), both surpassing analyst expectations
- The company expects full-year revenue growth of 'at least low double digits' compared to analyst expectations of 10.2% growth, and recently hired a new tech chief from Meta to lead AI initiatives
AI Summary
Airbnb Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Financial Performance:
Airbnb reported mixed fourth-quarter results, beating revenue expectations but missing on earnings. Q4 revenue rose 12% year-over-year to $2.78 billion, exceeding the $2.72 billion analyst estimate. However, the company missed earnings per share expectations, causing shares to decline 3% in after-hours trading. Net income totaled $341 million, or 56 cents per share. Adjusted EBITDA reached $786 million for the period.
Key Metrics:
- Nights and seats booked: 121.9 million (up 10% YoY), surpassing the expected 117.6 million
- Gross booking value: $20.4 billion (up 16% YoY), beating estimates of $19.4 billion
- The company has exceeded revenue expectations in 20 of the past 21 quarters
Forward Guidance:
Airbnb projects Q1 2025 revenue between $2.59 billion and $2.63 billion, above analyst expectations of $2.53 billion. The company forecasts full-year revenue growth of "at least low double digits," slightly above the 10.2% analyst consensus.
Strategic Developments:
In January, Airbnb appointed Ahmad Al-Dahle, former head of generative AI at Meta, as its new chief technology officer, replacing Ari Balogh who departed in December after seven years. This leadership change signals the company's focus on integrating AI technology into its platform.
Market Implications:
Despite strong operational metrics and positive forward guidance, the earnings miss triggered negative investor sentiment. The robust booking numbers and gross booking value suggest continued demand for the home-sharing platform, indicating resilient core business fundamentals heading into 2025.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| GPT-5-mini | Bullish | 80% |
| Claude 4.5 Haiku | Neutral | 78% |
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Bearish | 90% |
| Consensus | Neutral | 82% |