Stocks May Be Next to Take a Tumble: 3-Minutes MLIV
Bloomberg Markets and Finance
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February 11, 2026 at 09:15 AM UTC
Bearish
95% Confidence
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Key Points
- Weak retail sales and upcoming jobs/CPI data suggest a 'stagflationary' environment, worrying investors.
- Expectations for continued dollar weakness and a steepening US yield curve are noted.
- The Yen's rally is seen as a short squeeze, potentially leading to further short-term downside for USD-JPY.
- Overall, the market dynamic is deemed 'not great for stocks and risk assets', with a potential 'big downside move' for equities in the coming weeks.
AI Summary
Mark Cudmore expresses concern about a 'stagflationary whiff' from upcoming US economic data, including the jobs report and CPI, following weak retail sales. He anticipates continued dollar weakness and steepening yield curves, leading to a bearish outlook for stocks and risk assets. The Yen's recent rally is viewed as a short squeeze, but with potential for sustained rallies.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Bearish | 95% |
| Consensus | Bearish | 95% |