Morning Bid: Selling begets selling

Reuters | February 05, 2026 at 12:14 PM UTC
Bearish 85% Confidence Unanimous Agreement
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Key Points

  • AMD fell 17% and Palantir declined 12%, with volatility spreading to Asian markets where South Korea's Kospi dropped nearly 4%
  • Alphabet announced capital expenditure of $175-$185 billion for 2026, roughly double prior year levels, causing its stock to fall 2% after hours
  • The software sector has lost almost $1 trillion in market value in just one week as anxiety grows over AI's disruptive threat to existing businesses

AI Summary

Market Summary: Tech Selloff Intensifies as AI Investment Concerns Mount

Key Developments:

Tech sector anxiety deepened beyond software into chipmakers and mega-caps. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) plunged 17% while Palantir dropped 12%. The software sector has lost nearly $1 trillion in value over one week as investors question whether AI disruption poses more threat than opportunity to existing businesses.

Alphabet's Massive Spending Plans:

Google parent Alphabet announced 2026 capital expenditure of $175-185 billion—potentially doubling from prior levels and exceeding analyst expectations by 50%. Despite this aggressive AI investment push, the stock fell 2% after-hours, reflecting investor concerns about returns on massive AI spending by "hyperscalers."

Broader Market Impact:

  • Global contagion spread with South Korea's Kospi falling nearly 4%
  • Bitcoin dropped below recent lows for the first time since the 2024 U.S. election, down 40%+ from October peaks
  • Silver crashed as much as 17% overnight, finishing down 10%
  • Nasdaq and S&P 500 futures stabilized Thursday morning

Sectoral Rotation Continues:

The S&P 500 value index gained for a fifth consecutive session while growth stocks declined, signaling a shift from tech to cyclical stocks. The equal-weighted S&P 500 rose 0.8%, suggesting broader market participation beyond mega-caps.

Economic Data:

January surveys showed upbeat economic signals, though ADP private payrolls rose less than forecasted. Currency and bond markets remained relatively stable.

Upcoming Catalysts:

  • Amazon earnings after Thursday's close
  • ECB and Bank of England rate decisions (no moves expected)
  • U.S. December JOLTS data and weekly jobless claims

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
GPT-5-mini Bearish 76%
Claude 4.5 Haiku Bearish 85%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bearish 95%
Consensus Bearish 85%