Ciena Rejoins S&P 500 After 17 Years

CNBC | February 05, 2026 at 08:58 AM UTC
Bullish 82% Confidence Unanimous Agreement
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Key Points

  • Ciena's market cap has nearly tripled in the past year, with the stock reaching its highest price since 2001 as AI infrastructure demand accelerates.
  • The company projects 24% revenue growth in fiscal 2026, which would be its fastest expansion since 2011, with nearly 18% of fiscal 2025 revenue coming from a single unnamed cloud provider.
  • Supply constraints for optical components and AI infrastructure parts are driving up prices, though Ciena says it has secured supply from key vendors to meet demand.

AI Summary

Summary: Ciena Rejoins S&P 500 After 17 Years

Networking hardware manufacturer Ciena will rejoin the S&P 500 index after a 17-year absence, replacing human resources software company Dayforce, which is being acquired by Thoma Bravo for $12.3 billion. The announcement sent Ciena's stock higher in extended trading.

Company Background and Recovery:

Ciena initially joined the S&P 500 in 2001 during the dot-com boom but was removed in 2009 following the telecom bust. The company's market capitalization has nearly tripled over the past year, with shares reaching their highest price since 2001 on Tuesday.

Key Revenue Drivers:

The company sells optical networking equipment for high-speed fiber networks. In fiscal year 2025, nearly 18% of revenue came from an unnamed cloud provider, with approximately 11% from another major client. Demand for data center infrastructure supporting generative AI workloads has significantly boosted Ciena's performance.

Growth Outlook:

CEO Gary Smith indicated that AI infrastructure represents "a major contributor" to expected 2026 growth. The company projects approximately 24% revenue growth in fiscal year 2026, marking the fastest expansion rate since 2011.

Supply Chain Considerations:

CFO Marc Graff noted that optical components have become constrained amid surging demand for AI capacity, similar to memory shortages. The company has worked closely with key suppliers to secure necessary inventory.

Market Context:

Ciena joins other notable additions to the S&P 500 in 2025, including AppLovin. Network equipment rival Cisco also hit new highs this week, reflecting broader investor enthusiasm for AI infrastructure plays.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
GPT-5-mini Bullish 80%
Claude 4.5 Haiku Bullish 78%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bullish 90%
Consensus Bullish 82%