As U.S. Stock Market Wobbles, This Asian Market Knocks It Out Of The Ballpark

Investors Business Daily | February 03, 2026 at 11:34 PM UTC
Bullish 75% Confidence Unanimous Agreement
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Key Points

  • Samsung and SK Hynix dominate the Kospi, comprising 22% and 15.2% of the index respectively, benefiting from global AI chip demand with SK Hynix being the sole memory chip supplier for Microsoft's Maia 200 AI chip
  • South Korea faces renewed tariff risks as President Trump threatened to raise U.S. tariffs from 15% to 25% due to slow implementation of a July 2025 trade pact, though Korean stocks rose 2.7% to record highs following the announcement
  • JPMorgan analysts project the Kospi could reach 6,000 to 7,500 this year after South Korean President Lee Jae Myung achieved his campaign promise to double the index to 5,000, with the market currently at 5,288

AI Summary

Market Summary: South Korean Stocks Surge Amid U.S. Market Volatility

Key Performance Metrics

South Korea's Kospi index has delivered exceptional returns in 2026, surging 25.5% year-to-date, marking the world's best performance. The iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) has gained over 27%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500, which has nearly erased its 2026 gains. The Kospi closed at 5,288.08, and JPMorgan analysts project a base-case target of 6,000 with an optimistic scenario reaching 7,500.

Market Leaders

The rally is driven by South Korea's "Magnificent Two":

  • Samsung Electronics: Comprises over 22% of the index, up approximately 40% year-to-date
  • SK Hynix: Represents 15.2% of the index, also up roughly 40% YTD; the world's largest memory chipmaker and sole supplier of memory chips for Microsoft's Maia 200 AI chip

Both companies benefit from surging demand for AI-related semiconductor products, particularly memory chips essential for Nvidia's AI accelerators and data center infrastructure.

Trade Risks

President Trump recently increased tariffs on South Korea from 15% to 25%, citing slow implementation of a July trade agreement. However, Korean stocks showed resilience, with the Kospi rising 2.7% to record highs following the announcement. Samsung maintains a $17 billion semiconductor plant investment near Taylor, Texas, while navigating U.S.-China trade tensions.

Historical Context

South Korea's market surged 93.4% in 2025, narrowly trailing Colombia's 93.6% for the global top spot. President Lee Jae Myung achieved his campaign promise to double the Kospi to 5,000 ahead of schedule.

Implications

South Korean tech stocks present opportunities driven by AI infrastructure demand, though tariff uncertainties remain a key risk factor for investors.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
GPT-5-mini Bullish 75%
Claude 4.5 Haiku Bullish 72%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bullish 80%
Consensus Bullish 75%