Kevin Warsh 'hurts Fed independence,' says 3Fourteen's Warren Pies
CNBC Television
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February 02, 2026 at 05:00 PM UTC
Bearish
90% Confidence
Watch on YouTube
Key Points
- Kevin Warsh is seen as the 'worst Fed pick' due to his track record and potential to undermine Fed independence.
- Warsh's appointment would likely lead to a higher term premium, a steeper yield curve, and higher rates.
- His policy leanings could result in a 'lower Fed put', implying less aggressive Fed intervention during future market crises.
AI Summary
Warren Pies, co-founder of 3Fourteen Research, criticizes Kevin Warsh as a potential Fed pick, stating he is the 'worst pick of the four' candidates. Pies argues Warsh's inconsistent track record and perceived lack of independence would lead to less market trust, a steeper yield curve, and higher rates. He also suggests Warsh's approach could lower the 'Fed put', making the Fed less responsive during future crises.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Bearish | 90% |
| Consensus | Bearish | 90% |