Kevin Warsh 'hurts Fed independence,' says 3Fourteen's Warren Pies

CNBC Television | February 02, 2026 at 05:00 PM UTC
Bearish 90% Confidence
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Key Points

  • Kevin Warsh is seen as the 'worst Fed pick' due to his track record and potential to undermine Fed independence.
  • Warsh's appointment would likely lead to a higher term premium, a steeper yield curve, and higher rates.
  • His policy leanings could result in a 'lower Fed put', implying less aggressive Fed intervention during future market crises.

AI Summary

Warren Pies, co-founder of 3Fourteen Research, criticizes Kevin Warsh as a potential Fed pick, stating he is the 'worst pick of the four' candidates. Pies argues Warsh's inconsistent track record and perceived lack of independence would lead to less market trust, a steeper yield curve, and higher rates. He also suggests Warsh's approach could lower the 'Fed put', making the Fed less responsive during future crises.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bearish 90%
Consensus Bearish 90%