Peak tariffs are in, says KKR Henry McVey

CNBC Television | January 21, 2026 at 11:01 PM UTC
Bullish 95% Confidence
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Key Points

  • Global economy has a 'higher resting heart rate' due to increased fiscal activity, deglobalization, and inflation.
  • Recommends investing in assets linked to nominal GDP, including infrastructure and hard assets.
  • Identifies Asia (Japan, Southeast Asia, India) as under-owned markets with upward-inflecting earnings and potential currency tailwinds.
  • Sees a global 'productivity boom' and suggests cheaper plays in markets like Korea, Taiwan, and Japan.
  • Focuses on corporate carve-outs and views current credit conditions as a normalization, not a crisis.

AI Summary

Henry McVey of KKR discusses a 'regime change' in global markets, characterized by higher inflation and increased fiscal activity. He advocates for investing in assets linked to nominal GDP, highlighting opportunities in under-owned Asian markets like Japan and India, and specific sectors such as infrastructure and corporate carve-outs globally. He also notes a global productivity boom.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bullish 95%
Consensus Bullish 95%