Trump's Davos Speech Lifts Markets & Explaining 25% Natural Gas Rally

Schwab Network | January 21, 2026 at 04:26 PM UTC
Bullish 90% Confidence
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Key Points

  • Pending home sales for December 2025 dropped by 9.3% month-over-month, significantly worse than the -0.3% estimate.
  • Construction spending for October 2025 increased by 0.5% month-over-month, exceeding the 0.1% estimate.
  • President Trump's speech at Davos, particularly his comments on not using military force regarding Greenland, is seen as calming geopolitical tensions, contributing to the market's positive turn.
  • Natural gas futures rallied by over 25% due to anticipated severe winter storms, while gold futures hit another all-time high driven by geopolitical risk and central bank buying.

AI Summary

The market is showing resilience, with stocks moving higher despite a significant downturn in pending home sales. This is attributed to better-than-expected construction spending and a perceived de-escalation of geopolitical tensions following President Trump's comments at Davos. Energy and precious metals are also seeing notable price action.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bullish 90%
Consensus Bullish 90%