Fed Chair Powell under criminal probe by federal prosecutors: Report
CNBC
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January 12, 2026 at 12:36 AM UTC
Bearish
94% Confidence
Unanimous Agreement
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Key Points
- The criminal probe was reported by The New York Times based on information from officials familiar with the investigation
- No details have been released regarding the specific allegations or focus of the criminal investigation
- This marks a highly unusual situation involving the chairman of the Federal Reserve, the institution responsible for U.S. monetary policy
AI Summary
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell Under Criminal Investigation
Key Development:
Federal prosecutors have launched a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, according to a New York Times report published Sunday evening, citing officials with knowledge of the matter.
Critical Details:
- The investigation represents an unprecedented development involving the head of the U.S. central bank
- This is breaking news with limited details currently available
- No specific charges, allegations, or investigation scope have been disclosed at this time
- The report is based on anonymous sources briefed on the matter
Market Implications:
This development carries significant potential ramifications for financial markets:
- Policy Uncertainty: Questions about Powell's leadership stability could create uncertainty around Fed monetary policy direction
- Market Volatility: News of this nature typically triggers volatility in equity, bond, and currency markets
- Dollar Impact: Investigation of the Fed Chair could pressure the U.S. dollar
- Rate Expectations: Markets may reassess interest rate trajectory depending on investigation outcomes
- Confidence Concerns: Potential erosion of confidence in Federal Reserve independence and leadership
Institutional Impact:
- Federal Reserve credibility and independence may face scrutiny
- Potential leadership transition concerns if investigation escalates
- Questions about continuity of current monetary policy stance
Next Steps:
Investors should monitor for:
- Additional details on investigation scope and allegations
- Official statements from the Federal Reserve or Department of Justice
- Market reaction when trading opens
- Potential impact on upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decisions
This remains a developing story requiring close attention given Powell's central role in U.S. monetary policy and broader financial market stability.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| GPT-5-mini | Bearish | 90% |
| Claude 4.5 Haiku | Bearish | 95% |
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Bearish | 98% |
| Consensus | Bearish | 94% |