US employers add 50K jobs in December as unemployment rate drops to 4.4%

New York Post | January 09, 2026 at 01:49 PM UTC
Bearish 85% Confidence Unanimous Agreement
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Key Points

  • December's 50,000 jobs added fell below the 55,000 monthly average for the first 11 months of 2025 and missed Dow Jones estimates of 73,000
  • October and November payroll figures were revised downward by a combined 76,000 jobs, indicating a weaker labor market than initially reported
  • The unemployment rate of 4.6% in November was the highest since 2021, and Fed officials warn data may remain distorted for another month or two following the government shutdown

AI Summary

Summary: U.S. December Jobs Report Shows Continued Labor Market Weakness

U.S. employers added just 50,000 jobs in December 2025, missing Dow Jones estimates of 73,000 and falling below the already-sluggish 55,000 monthly average for the first eleven months of the year, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Despite the weak job creation, the unemployment rate declined to 4.4% from November's 4.6%, which had marked the highest level since 2021. However, this improvement comes amid broader signs of labor market strain.

Key Revisions and Data Quality Concerns:

Downward revisions to prior months totaled 76,000 jobs combined for October and November, further weakening the employment picture. The December report marks the first on-schedule release since September, following a record-breaking government shutdown that disrupted data collection.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell cautioned last month that employment figures should be interpreted carefully due to potential data distortions caused by collection gaps. Analysts expect it may take an additional one to two months before labor market reports normalize.

Market Implications:

The persistently weak job growth—with December's 50,000 additions representing one of the softest monthly gains in recent years—signals underlying stress in the labor market. The combination of missed expectations, downward revisions, and data quality concerns creates uncertainty for monetary policy decisions. While the lower unemployment rate provides some positive offset, the overall trajectory suggests a cooling labor market that could influence Federal Reserve interest rate policy and investor sentiment across equity and fixed-income markets. Traders should monitor upcoming reports closely as data quality improves.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
GPT-5-mini Bearish 75%
Claude 4.5 Haiku Bearish 85%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bearish 95%
Consensus Bearish 85%