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Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's September warning about elevated stock valuations has become more serious as aggressive tariff policies and consumer sentiment collapsing to 50.4 (second-lowest in history) create significant economic uncertainty. The S&P 500's forward P/E ratio of 21 versus the long-term average of 16, combined with households paying 82% of tariff costs according to Goldman Sachs, suggests Wall Street's 15-20% growth forecasts for 2026 may be overly optimistic.

• Consumer Sentiment Index crashed to 50.4 in November, the second-lowest reading ever recorded, with 71% of households expecting unemployment to rise in 2026
• S&P 500 forward P/E ratio sits at 21 compared to historical average of 16, while the Shiller CAPE ratio exceeds 39, historically preceding 4% declines within one year
• Goldman Sachs data shows U.S. businesses and households bear 82% of tariff costs, threatening corporate margins and earnings growth assumptions

Investor's Business Daily has published its 2025 list of 100 best stocks, with Sandisk, Palantir Technologies, and Micron Technology leading among companies selected for exceptional fundamentals. The S&P 500 continues its third consecutive double-digit gain, with many featured stocks trading near all-time highs.

• Sandisk tops the list with a 594.7% price change in 2025, followed by Nutex Health (430.5%) and Lumentum (371.6%)
• Companies must have an average daily trading volume of 100,000 and composite ratings above 60 to qualify for inclusion
• Technology, mining (particularly gold stocks), and aerospace/defense sectors dominate the list, with notable names including Palantir (rank 32), Micron (rank 12), and Robinhood (rank 15)

U.S. stock markets are approaching record highs with the S&P 500 nearing the 7,000 milestone, driven by technical patterns and resilient market sentiment that has overcome concerns about AI bubbles, tariffs, and inflation. The Nasdaq is showing recovery signs despite recent tech stock rotation, with both indices displaying similar swing patterns that could push them to new highs by early January.

• S&P 500 is trading at 6,937.38, following two previous 370-380 point rallies in 13 sessions each, with technical analysis projecting a potential move to 7,090-7,102 by January 13
• Materials sector leads gains while consumer discretionary lags; notable movers include Freeport-McMoRan (+3%) and Nvidia (+1.7%) on the upside, with Moderna and cruise lines down 2-4%
• Nasdaq recovery from lower-bottom pattern suggests tech rotation may be reversing, with projected target of 24,492-24,518 by January 2-7

VettaFi's survey of financial advisors conducted between mid-November and late December reveals continued bullishness on markets, with 75% expecting lower interest rates by year-end 2026 and large-cap U.S. equities topping the list of planned investments at 30%. Despite a three-year rally, advisors remain optimistic about equities while showing limited crypto adoption among clients.

• 53% of advisor clients hold zero crypto exposure, with those who do invest citing speculative growth (50%) and FOMO (22%) rather than technology conviction (0%)
• International markets gained renewed advisor interest at 21% following strong 2025 performance, particularly China's 30%+ gains
• The 3-7 year duration range emerged as advisors' preferred bond positioning amid expectations of declining short-term rates but persistent long-term inflation concerns

3EDGE Asset Management's leadership team, including Chief Investment Strategist Fritz Folts, CEO/CIO Steve Cucchiaro, and Deputy CIO Eric Biegeleisen, released a special video discussing key investment themes from 2025 and their outlook for 2026. The video reviews how their model research guided investment decisions throughout 2025 and provides insights into expected market conditions for the coming year.

• Leadership team analyzes 2025's important investment themes and how their proprietary model research helped navigate market conditions
• Video serves as both a year-end review and forward-looking analysis for 2026 market expectations
• Content appears to be part of 3EDGE's regular weekend video series aimed at providing strategic investment insights to clients and advisors